Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 7 24 24

Philadelphia’s lineup has withstood injuries to Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, and JT Realmuto, seemingly not missing a beat. The Phillies offense ranks fourth in the league in scoring and third in wOBA. Hopefully, the all-star break was enough for Suarez to regain his form after his hot start. Always make sure to exercise responsibility and stop if betting is no longer enjoyable to you. The Phillies have not confirmed a starter for Wednesday’s game. He’s struggled against lefties but has dominated righties over the last 30 days.

Phillies vs. Twins Betting Insights

However, if one leg fails, the parlay isn’t successful and you lose the bet. For a $1 bet on an underdog with odds of 4/1, a bettor would win $4 on top of their original stake for a total of $5. For every $4 bet on a favorite with odds of 1/4, a better would earn $1 on top of their original stake for a total payout of $5. Conversely, perhaps you want to bet on the underdog with odds of +165. Both betting on underdogs and favorites will return your initial stake on top of your payout with a successful bet. Plus, over the last 15 days, the Twins have been awful offensively, ranking 26th in the league in OPS and 28th in runs scored.

MLB Live Bets

• When it comes to his home runs, Byron Buxton has had bad variance on his side this year.
• Minnesota has a total of 119 home runs on the campaign to go along with 459 RBIs.
• A first five innings moneyline is a wager that only takes into account the outcome of a game’s first five innings.
• Philadelphia has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games while allowing 8 or more in 2 of its last 4.
• The Phils have thrived when Nola is on the mound, winning 14 of the 15 starts in 2024 where he’s pitched at least six innings.
• Based on the latest simulations, Dimers’ advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today’s game.
• If Wheeler continues his season the way it has been going, the Twins will win.
• Here’s everything you need to know before checking out today’s MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nola is having a good season, but he does have an ERA over 4.00 since the beginning of June. Minnesota is top-5 in batting average and slugging percentage. Minnesota has scored over 5 runs per game in the month of July, and it is a big reason that they are in second place in the AL Central. If the Twins can continue to hit the ball well, they will be able to win this game. They are at the top of the MLB in batting average, slugging percentage, on-base percentage, home runs, and runs scored.

Sportsbooks

According to Dimers’ independent predictive analytics model, the Phillies are more likely to defeat the Twins at Target Field. This prediction is based on the model giving the Phillies a 57% chance of winning the game. Additionally, alternate run lines are available for both baseball teams.

Series Betting

The Minnesota Twins have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. While Ober has only had two scoreless outings this season, he has only blown up just once. He’s good at limiting hard contact while doing everything else at an above-average level. He is phillies twins prediction a perfectly fine pitcher — solid and above-average with a 4.14 ERA and 3.63 xERA. Ranger Suarez has gone from middle reliever to back-of-the-rotation starter to Cy Young candidate for the Phillies. While the Twins don’t strike out at a high rate, the lineup has less power and a lower wOBA against righties than lefties.

World Series Futures & Betting Odds: Who Will Win the World Series?

However, their 25th ranking in stolen bases indicates a lack of speed on the basepaths. Phillies right fielder Nick Castellanos drove in two-thirds of his team’s runs in their 3-0 win over the Twins on Tuesday. In that contest, Castellanos batted 7th in the order and went 1 for 2 with a double and 2 RBIs.

• The Phillies have dropped 4 of their last 6 games, but still hold a commanding 9-game lead in the NL East.
• In the top of the 8th inning with two outs, the odds have adjusted to reflect the current score (Diamondbacks are the favorite to win at -270 odds, pre-game odds were -133).
• The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 437 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.13 (403 earned runs allowed).
• They have 26 saves for the season and have missed out on 15 out of their 41 chances to get a save.
• Decimal odds are the most common format used by European sportsbooks.
• Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the scene, our platform provides all the information you need to place your baseball bets with confidence.

Aaron Nola (11-4 W-L, 3.54 ERA) vs. Steven Okert (3-1 W-L, 4.4 ERA)

Minnesota needs to have their best offensive game against a very good pitcher in Wheeler. If they scratch across just a few runs, it would be enough to help the Twins win this game. Minnesota was able to shut down the Phillies in game one of this series, but that is not a big surprise.

• On the road they have impressed, even though the total has gone under in these situations, maybe they have been playing better defense on the road, on average.
• That’s far more sustainable, and it’s why the Twins might add to the Phillies’ misery.
• In fractional odds, the numerator represents how much a bettor stands to win while the denominator indicates the amount of a stake.
• I am going to trust my gut, and bet on the better pitcher here.
• I’d need more bang for my buck to go against the Phillies and Suarez with how he’s pitched this season.
• If you combined these moneyline odds into a four-team $100 parlay, that’s a potential payout of $1,582.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 7/24/24

Woods Richardson is a right-handed pitcher, 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA on the season. He’s recently walked a high rate of lefties and has allowed a high ISO to righties over the last 30 days. He’s not nearly as consistent as Wheeler and has only struck out 21.3% of batters over the previous month. But overall, the lineup of notable names has only hit a .183 ISO and wOBA of .321 over the last 30 days. The lineup has also struck out 21.7% of the time and has earned only 7.5% of walks. But before his Il stint, he had hit a .261 average with seven home runs and 20 RBIs in 51 games.

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Game 1 Pick & Preview – 7/24/2024

But before you place your first MLB bet at an online sportsbook, let’s review what the pros already know. Premium game analysis suggests that while the Twins could exploit any slip-up by Nola, the Phillies’ overall consistency and batting strength will likely prevail. The Twins’ recent performance has been shaky, and their betting trends reflect this instability. Although they are 2-5 SU against National League opponents, they maintain a solid 7-3 SU record against NL East teams.

Game Info: Wednesday, July 24, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Target Field)

A winning $10 bet on odds of 1.59 would see a return of $15.90. When breaking down the calculations for the return, it’s simply 10 multiplied by 1.59. Should you want further assistance by the end of this guide, head on over to our MLB computer picks page to find additional tools to help grow your potential profits.

They are 15-5 in games started by Nola this season and they are a good bet to add another one on Wednesday. Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks. That’s especially true against a Phillies offense that ranks inside the top five in the league in OPS, runs scored and hits in the 2024 season. I think the Phillies break out the bats and get it going here for the win and for the series W as well.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road to take on the Minnesota Twins Tuesday night. Below we will continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Twins prediction and pick. Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

This will be Ober’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies. They are top-5 in batting average, slugging percentage, runs scored, and they have hit plenty of home runs this season. Woods Richardson can be hittable, so it is up to the Phillies offense to get the job done. If the Phillies can put some runs on the board, and get those extra base hits, they will be able to win this game.

• Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks.
• If the Twins can continue to hit the ball well, they will be able to win this game.
• The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 437 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.13 (403 earned runs allowed).
• There should be just enough offense to push this total OVER 8 (-105).
• It’s your responsibility and no one else’s to know what your laws are and that you stick to them.
• Suarez has still induced a high rate of grounders, but he’ll be in line to face a Twins lineup that has struck out just 11.8% of the time against lefties over the last month.
• The Phillies have dropped 4 of their last 6 games, but still hold a commanding 9-game lead in the NL East.
• The decrease makes sense because all his secondary pitchers have been plus.

We predict the Phillies, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Wednesday. “With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Phillies’ chance of winning at 52%, with the Twins at 48%.” Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.8% ROI). Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins prediction, MLB odds, best bets for 7/23/2024

The Twins have been listed as +116 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Phillies (-137). We recommend in the strongest terms that you check the las in your location before using any online sports better services from any sites that may be featured on this site. It’s your responsibility and no one else’s to know what your laws are and that you stick to them. Tony’s Picks does not provide any guidance or advice on the legality of online gambling activities, including online sports betting, within your area.

Free Pick and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 6, Minnesota Twins 4.

• Phillies pitchers have allowed 94 home runs in addition to 386 total runs (4th in MLB).
• None of his past six starts have seen more than three earned runs cross the plate, and unlike Suarez, he’s keeping runners off base.
• They are top-5 in batting average, slugging percentage, runs scored, and they have hit plenty of home runs this season.
• A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.
• Though anticipated to be the defeated team, underdogs frequently achieve victory.

Though anticipated to be the defeated team, underdogs frequently achieve victory. In the top of the 8th inning with two outs, the odds have adjusted to reflect the current score (Diamondbacks are the favorite to win at -270 odds, pre-game odds were -133). Again, for negative numbers, the value of the odds tells you how much you need to wager to win $100. American odds are the most common format used by top U.S. sportsbooks. Odds start with either a minus (-) or a plus (+) and are always a whole number (-135, +150, +250, -325, etc.). Minnesota is in second in the AL Central, sitting five games behind the Cleveland Guardians.

According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 51% chance of staying under. The Twins will have Simeon Woods Richardson (3-1, 3.51 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Zack Wheeler (10-4, 2.70 ERA) for the Phillies. If so, check your eligibility for Bet365 bonus code “DIMERS”, which unlocks an $1,150 betting bonus in Pennsylvania for the first time week. A first five innings moneyline is a wager that only takes into account the outcome of a game’s first five innings.

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.73% ROI). Of all the talented teams in Major League Baseball, the consensus seems to be that the New York Yankees are the most popular among fans. This team has a long and enriching history, so this comes as no surprise. The Phillies have dropped 4 of their last 6 games, but still hold a commanding 9-game lead in the NL East. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more.

• It is even harder to bet against Zack Wheeler with how he is pitching, as well.
• Not only have the Phillies struggled a bit offensively, but Ranger Suarez has been abysmal on the mound lately.
• Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 10-4 with a 2.76 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season.
• Minnesota can’t keep Royce Lewis on the field, as he is back on the injured list.
• If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

Plus, our World Series odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division. Dimers.com’s in-depth preview of Wednesday’s Phillies vs. Twins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds. Gambling is not offered on this website, and all betting content is intended for audiences ages 21+. All picks and predictions are based on each individual writer’s opinion, and don’t express that of ClutchPoints.